Can a computer predict overdose outbreaks? rhode island trial tests new tool
NCT ID NCT05096429
First seen Jun 25, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026 · Updated 1 time
Summary
This study tested a predictive analytics tool called PROVIDENT to forecast where overdose deaths might happen next. Researchers randomly assigned 39 Rhode Island municipalities to either use the tool or continue with standard prevention efforts. The goal was to see if directing resources to high-risk neighborhoods could reduce fatal and non-fatal overdoses.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only — not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If successful, this approach could help communities better target overdose prevention resources and reduce drug-related deaths.
- What could go wrong
- This is a small, early-stage study with only 39 municipalities, so results may not apply to other states or populations. The tool's predictions may not always be accurate.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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Brown University School of Public Health
Providence, Rhode Island, 02912, United States
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