A simple bedside score may flag heart patients at risk after surgery — a large study puts it to the test

NCT ID NCT07735689

First seen Jul 30, 2026 · Last updated Jul 31, 2026 · Updated 1 time

Summary

This study looks at whether a simple calculation called the modified shock index (MSI) — which combines heart rate and blood pressure — can predict serious heart complications after non-cardiac surgery in people who already have heart disease. Researchers will review medical records from 1,500 patients aged 45 and older who had major abdominal surgery. The goal is to see if a higher MSI score before or during surgery is linked to a higher chance of heart attack, heart failure, dangerous heart rhythms, or cardiac death afterward.

What this could mean

Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only — not medical advice or a prediction.

What this could lead to
If the modified shock index proves accurate, it could give doctors a simple tool to identify high-risk cardiac patients before complications arise after non-cardiac surgery.
What could go wrong
This is a retrospective analysis, not a controlled trial, so it can show associations but not prove cause and effect. The results may not apply to all hospitals or patient groups.

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Conditions

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