1,200-Patient study aims to predict liver failure risks
NCT ID NCT05740358
First seen Jun 26, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026 · Updated 1 time
Summary
This observational study follows 1,222 adults with liver cirrhosis to understand why some develop serious complications like fluid buildup or bleeding. Participants have check-ups every six months, including questionnaires, physical exams, and imaging. The goal is to build better prediction models to help doctors intervene earlier.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If successful, this study could help doctors predict which cirrhosis patients are at risk for serious complications, leading to earlier interventions.
- What could go wrong
- This is an observational study, not a treatment trial. It may not identify clear risk factors, and results may not apply to all patients.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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1,222 people
The number who actually took part.
- Started
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Nov 2022
- Expected to finish
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Oct 2030
An estimate. End dates often move.
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
The study will include participants with cirrhosis of the liver.
- Ages
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18 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: * Age ≥ 18 years * Willing to provide samples at baseline * Cirrhosis Where Cirrhosis is defined as: 1. At least one liver biopsy within 5 years prior to consent showing either: a) Metavir stage 4 fibrosis; Ishak Stage 5-6 fibrosis OR 2. At least 2 of the following: 1\. Evidence on imaging: Nodular liver with either splenomegaly or recanalized umbilical vein within the past year 2. Liver stiffness: VCTE within one year prior to consent or during Screening ≥12.5 kPa or MRE within one year prior to consent or during Screening ≥5 kPa 3. Evidence of varices demonstrated on imaging or endoscopy within 3 years prior to consent or during Screening 4. Either: FIB-4\>2.67 or platelets \<150/mL within 6 months prior to consent or during Screening 5. \>5 years METAVIR stage 4 fibrosis or Ishak stage 5-6 Exclusion Criteria: * Known and documented prior or current hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or cholangiocarcinoma * Known transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), balloon retrograde transvenous obliteration (BRTO) or porto-systemic shunt surgery regardless of time of occurrence * Known prior solid organ transplant or bone marrow transplant * Current participation in active medication treatment trials at the time of consent for LCN Cohort Study * Prisoners or individuals with more than 180 days incarceration pending due to difficulty with visits * Bariatric surgery in the last 180 days prior to consent * Known history of fontan procedure-associated liver disease (FALD) * Known current medical or psychiatric conditions which, in the opinion of the investigator, would make the participant unsuitable for the study or interfere with or prevent follow-up per protocol * Current liver-unrelated end-stage organ failures (Dialysis, stage 3-4 congestive heart failure (CHF), current chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on home oxygen, current known active malignancy besides non-melanomatous skin cancer or carcinoma in situ) * Documented history of acute alcohol-associated hepatitis (according to NIAAA criteria as described in the MOP) in the 180 days prior to consent * Documented current or continued signs and symptoms of acute Wilson disease (acute liver failure, acute neurological deficits, hemolysis) * In patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC): Current active cholangitis with 90 days prior to consent * Documented cardiac cirrhosis * Known recent (within the last 365 days) or present hepatic decompensation with ascites/hydrothorax (including trace ascites discovered at screening not requiring intervention), hepatic encephalopathy or variceal bleeding. If a patient has had a history of decompensation, they must have been off any medications to treat decompensation for at least 365 days. Refer to the MOP for clarifying details on evaluating eligibility for patients with a history of prior decompensation. * Known or documented habitual non-adherence to previous research studies or medical procedures or unwillingness to adhere to protocol (e.g., unwilling to obtain consent or samples) * Current model for end-stage liver disease (MELD-Na) cut off ≥ 15\* * Current Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) B or C\* * Current known Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) without sustained virologic response (SVR) * Current known quantifiable Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) viral DNA on therapy with ongoing adherence on suppressive therapy\* * In patients with autoimmune hepatitis: serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST) \> 2X upper limit of normal (ULN) within 90 days prior to consent or during Screening\* * In patients living with HIV: CD4+ T cell count less than 100 cells/mm3 within 90 days prior to consent or during Screening\* * Indicates an exclusion criterion that may depend on laboratory results and other clinical assessments to be ordered during Screening after confirming the participant is otherwise eligible. If the test was performed as standard-of-care in the 90 days prior to consent, it does not need to be re-done for eligibility.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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Central Virginia Veterans Healthcare System
Richmond, Virginia, 23249, United States
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Cleveland Clinic
Cleveland, Ohio, 44192, United States
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Columbia University Iriving School of Medicine
New York, New York, 10031, United States
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Duke Liver Center
Durham, North Carolina, 27710, United States
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Keck Medical Center of USC
Los Angeles, California, 90033, United States
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LAC + USC Medical Center
Los Angeles, California, 90033, United States
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Mayo Clinic
Rochester, Minnesota, 55901, United States
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New York Presbyterian/Weill Cornell
New York, New York, 10021, United States
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UCSF Medical Center
San Francisco, California, 94143, United States
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UCSF/Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital and Trauma Center
San Francisco, California, 94110, United States
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University of California San Diego NAFLD Research Center
La Jolla, California, 92035, United States
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University of Miami Health System
Miami, Florida, 33122, United States
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University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, Michigan, 48109, United States
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Virginia Commonwealth University
Richmond, Virginia, 23298, United States
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