New math models could save lives on liver transplant waitlist
NCT ID NCT03820271
First seen Jun 27, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026
Summary
This study aimed to create new mathematical models to better predict which patients with severe liver disease are at highest risk of dying while waiting for a liver transplant. Researchers analyzed data from 501 adults on the French national transplant waiting list. The goal is to make the organ allocation system fairer and reduce deaths on the waiting list.
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Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Phase
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Not a phased trial
Phase numbers describe drug development. The registry uses this when they do not apply, as it does for trials of devices, procedures or behaviour changes, and for observational studies.
- Participants
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501 people
The number who actually took part.
- Started
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Oct 2020
- Finished
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Nov 2025
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
- Ages
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18 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
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Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: * Adult patients (≥18 years old) registered on national waiting list with main diagnosis "cirrhosis" within 14 days (+/-2) before or 7 days (+/-2) after the inclusion in the protocol (using the date of biobank sampling as Day 0) * Patients enrolled on the national waiting list under the "national liver score" allocation scheme whether an expert component is considered or not * Patients (or trusted person or family member or close relation if the patient is unable to express consent) who have been informed and signed their informed consent * Patients affiliated to a health insurance scheme Exclusion Criteria: * Patients enrolled with decompensated cirrhosis associated with hepatocellular carcinoma \>TNM1 * Patients on AVK (INR and therefore MELD and CLIF scores uninterpretable) * Vulnerable population (person under guardianship or curatorship or deprived of liberty by a judicial decision) * Pregnant and / or breastfeeding woman * Patient candidate for a combined transplantation * Patient with history of organ transplantation (liver, kidney, heart)
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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Pr Duvoux
Créteil, 94000, France
More trials for these conditions
Other studies related to the condition(s) this trial covers.
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