New study aims to predict repeat disc herniations before surgery
NCT ID NCT04254250
First seen Jun 27, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026
Summary
This study followed 386 people who had surgery for a slipped disc in the lower back. Before surgery, doctors used a mathematical model to estimate each patient's risk of the disc herniating again. After standard microdiscectomy, patients were checked every 6 months for 3 years to see if the disc came back. The goal was to see if the risk estimate could accurately predict reherniation.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only — not medical advice or a prediction.
What this could lead to
If successful, this could help surgeons identify patients at high risk of reherniation before surgery, potentially guiding treatment decisions.
What could go wrong
This is an observational study, not a treatment trial. It only estimates risk and does not test a new therapy, so direct patient benefit is uncertain.
Disclaimer
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the original study
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Summaries may miss details or leave out important information. Before applying or accepting participation, make sure you have read and understood the full study. Curemydisease.com takes no responsibility whatsoever for anything missed, misunderstood, or acted upon as a result of our summary — we know it does not capture everything.
This is a summary of the original study . Summaries may miss details or leave out important information. Before applying or accepting participation, make sure you have read and understood the full study. Curemydisease.com takes no responsibility whatsoever for anything missed, misunderstood, or acted upon as a result of our summary — we know it does not capture everything.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
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Locations
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Novosibirsk Research Institute of Traumatology and Orthopaedics n.a. Ya.L. Tsivyan
Novosibirsk, 630091, Russia
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Priorov National Medical Research Center of Traumatology and Orthopedics
Moscow, 127299, Russia