Establishment of a perioperative dynamic prediction model for cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury

NCT ID NCT07811583

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First seen Sep 10, 2026 ยท Last updated Sep 10, 2026

Summary

Cardiac surgery-associated Acute Kidney Injury (CSA-AKI) is one of the most common complications after cardiovascular Surgery, with an incidence rate as high as 30-50%. CSA-AKI has many hazards, including significantly increasing the hospital stay of patients after surgery and greatly increasing medical costs. Moreover, it significantly raises the short-term and long-term mortality (by 3 to 8 times) and the risk of occurrence or aggravation of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients after surgery. These risks increase with the aggravation of CSA-AKI. Therefore, early prevention and treatment throughout the perioperative period of CSA-AKI is crucial for improving prognosis. Early prediction, especially preoperative prediction, is the prerequisite for the early prevention and treatment of CSA-AKI throughout the course. The aim of this study is to establish a dynamic prediction model for the entire perioperative period of CSA-AKI, with the expectation of improving the prediction and diagnosis of CSA-AKI for the development and validation of a prediction model based on a multicenter retrospective cohort. Using retrospective multimodal data of perioperative cardiovascular surgeries from hospitals such as Beijing, Central China, Yunnan and Fuwai Hospital in Shenzhen, and based on artificial intelligence technologies (such as machine learning), a CSA-AKI risk prediction model suitable for the entire perioperative period dynamics of various surgical types was constructed.

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Study facts

What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.

Participants

About 70,000 people

The number the study aims to enrol. It can still change while the study runs.

Started

Jan 2015

Expected to finish

Dec 2027

An estimate. End dates often move.

Lead sponsor

A government agency

The lead sponsor is a government body.

Who can take part

This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.

Who is studied

The cohort included adult patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery from 2015 to 2025 (Beijing) and from 2022 to 2025 (branch hospital).

Ages

18 years and older

Sex

Anyone

Healthy volunteers

Not accepted

This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.

Show the full entry requirements

Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.

Inclusion Criteria: * 1\. Age no less than 18 years old; * 2\. Patients who underwent cardiovascular surgeries at Fuwai Hospital in Beijing from 2015 to 2025 and at Fuwai Hospitals in Central China, Yunnan and Shenzhen from 2022 to 2025; * 3\. At least one blood creatinine test should be conducted within 48 hours after the operation, and at least two blood creatinine tests should be conducted within one week after the operation. Exclusion Criteria: * 1\. Lack of preoperative baseline creatinine; * 2\. Patients who developed AKI before surgery or whose AKI did not recover: The definition of AKI follows the KDIGO 2012 guideline; * 3\. Patients with preoperative creatinine levels exceeding 354umol/L or those in CKD stage 5.

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Conditions

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