Can we predict who will survive a hip fracture? new study tests 10 models
NCT ID NCT06961253
First seen Jun 24, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026 · Updated 1 time
Summary
This study checks how well 10 existing prediction models can estimate the chance of dying within 30 days after a hip fracture. Researchers will look at data from 3500 patients in the Netherlands, using about 35 health factors. The goal is to find models that are accurate and useful for helping doctors and patients make informed decisions together.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If successful, this could help doctors and patients make better decisions about care after a hip fracture by identifying those at highest risk.
- What could go wrong
- This is an observational study, not a treatment trial. The models may not perform well in real-world settings or may not improve outcomes.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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About 3,500 people
The number the study aims to enrol. It can still change while the study runs.
- Started
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Jun 2024
- Expected to finish
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Jun 2026
An estimate. End dates often move.
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
The study population consists of patients who underwent surgery for a hip fracture at OLVG between January 1, 2016, and June 6, 2024, including procedures with hemiarthroplasty or internal fixation. The average age of the study population is approximately 80 years. The cohort is inclusive due to the broad inclusion and minimal exclusion criteria, and data collection is based on an anonymous search strategy. This real-world population includes individuals who might not typically participate in randomized clinical trials, enhancing the generalizability of the results. In addition, the study identifies patients admitted with a hip fracture who did not undergo surgery during the same period, allowing for a comparison of demographic and clinical characteristics between operated and non-operated patients.
- Ages
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18 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Accepted
You do not need to have the condition being studied to take part.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: * Patients admitted to OLVG between January 1, 2016, and March 1, 2024, with a diagnosis of hip fracture; and/or. * Patients who underwent surgery at OLVG between January 1, 2016, and March 1, 2024, with an indication of hip fracture; and. * Availability of independent predictor variables for at least one of the selected prediction models in the medical record. Exclusion Criteria: * Patients with unknown 30-day follow-up mortality status. * Patients with periprosthetic fractures (fractures around an existing hip prosthesis) at the time of presentation. * Patients aged under 18 years at the time of hip fracture. * Patients who declined the use of their medical data for research purposes.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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OLVG
Amsterdam, 1091AC, Netherlands
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Other studies related to the condition(s) this trial covers.
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