Can a simple score predict death risk in seniors at the ER?
NCT ID NCT07577349
First seen Jun 27, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026
Summary
This study looked at whether common early warning scores can predict which older patients (65+) are at risk of dying within 28 days after visiting the emergency room. Researchers tracked over 2,700 patients, recording vital signs, lab results, and frailty. The goal was to see which scoring system works best for this age group, potentially helping doctors make faster, more accurate decisions.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If successful, this could help emergency doctors better identify which older patients need intensive care, potentially saving lives.
- What could go wrong
- This is an observational study, not a treatment trial. It only measures prediction accuracy, so it won't directly change patient outcomes. Results may not apply to all hospitals.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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2,744 people
The number who actually took part.
- Started
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Jul 2025
- Finished
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Jan 2026
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
Patients aged 65 years and older presenting to the emergency department with non-traumatic conditions who met the eligibility criteria and had complete data for early warning score calculation and 28-day follow-up.
- Ages
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65 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: Participants will be eligible for inclusion if they meet all of the following criteria: * Age 65 years or older * Presentation to the emergency department during the study period * Non-traumatic emergency department presentation * Availability of clinical data required for early warning score calculation * Availability of 28-day follow-up data * Written informed consent provided by the patient or, when applicable, by a legal representative Exclusion Criteria: Participants will be excluded if they meet any of the following criteria: * Trauma-related presentation * Insufficient clinical data for calculation of early warning scores * Incomplete 28-day follow-up data * Presentation in cardiac arrest * Death within the first hour after emergency department presentation * Known hematologic malignancy * Presentation for palliative support only * Inability to obtain informed consent from the patient or a legal representative
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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Haseki Training and Research Hospital
Istanbul, Istanbul, 34265, Turkey (Türkiye)
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