New model forecasts cancer recurrence risk in rectal patients
NCT ID NCT07351708
First seen Jun 27, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026
Summary
This study aimed to create a model that predicts whether rectal cancer will come back after treatment. Researchers looked at medical records and inflammation markers from over 2,300 patients with advanced rectal cancer who had chemotherapy or radiation before surgery. The goal was to help doctors identify patients at higher risk of local recurrence, so they can plan better follow-up care.
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Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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2,315 people
The number who actually took part.
- Started
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Jan 2010
- Finished
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Nov 2025
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
Eight hundred and sixty-nine patients (median \[interquartile range\] age, 57 \[48, 64\] years; 70% \[611/869\] male) with LARC between January 2010 and December 2022 in SYSU6H served as the training cohort, while 1446 patients with LARC between January 2010 and December 2022 in CHH (median age, 62 \[54, 69\]; 62% \[902/1446\] male) were served as the validation cohort.
- Ages
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20 to 90 years
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
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Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: 1. Diagnosed cT\>=3 or cN+ stage rectal cancer by pelvic MRI or enhanced CT scan; 2. Pathological proved primary rectal adenocarcinoma; 3. Recieved full-cource radiation or more than 3 cycles of chemotherapy before surgery; 4. Recieved radical tumor resection by TME surgery. Exclusion Criteria: 1. Diganosed with any distant metastasis disease or locally unresectable disease before neoadjuvant treatment or surgery; 2. Recieved local resection surgery (R2 resection) or postoperative pathology confirmed positive surgical margins (R1 resection); 3. Patients who died due to intra- or post-operative complications; 4. Patient who die or relapse within 30 days after surgery; 5. Patients who had a prior history of malignancy within 5 years before surgery; 6. Patients who were loss of follow-up or had inadequate clinical data.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
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Other studies related to the condition(s) this trial covers.
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