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A simple bedside score may flag heart patients at risk after surgery — a large study puts it to the test
NCT ID NCT07735689
First seen Jul 30, 2026 · Last updated Jul 31, 2026 · Updated 1 time
Summary
This study looks at whether a simple calculation called the modified shock index (MSI) — which combines heart rate and blood pressure — can predict serious heart complications after non-cardiac surgery in people who already have heart disease. Researchers will review medical records from 1,500 patients aged 45 and older who had major abdominal surgery. The goal is to see if a higher MSI score before or during surgery is linked to a higher chance of heart attack, heart failure, dangerous heart rhythms, or cardiac death afterward.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If the modified shock index proves accurate, it could give doctors a simple tool to identify high-risk cardiac patients before complications arise after non-cardiac surgery.
- What could go wrong
- This is a retrospective analysis, not a controlled trial, so it can show associations but not prove cause and effect. The results may not apply to all hospitals or patient groups.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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About 1,500 people
The number the study aims to enrol. It can still change while the study runs.
- Expected to start
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Aug 2026
An estimate. Start dates often move.
- Expected to finish
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Dec 2026
An estimate. End dates often move.
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
Patients who underwent gastric or colorectal surgery at Fujian Medical University Union Hospital between January 2020 and December 2025, and who met all inclusion criteria and none of the exclusion criteria.
- Ages
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45 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: * (1) Age ≥45 years. (2) Underwent elective major abdominal surgery with a duration of ≥2 hours at Fujian Medical University Union Hospital between January 2020 and December 2025. (3) Presence of any of the following: history of heart disease; elevated BNP or cardiac troponin within 30 days before surgery; or at least two cardiac risk factors. (4) Complete electronic medical records available. Exclusion Criteria: * (1) ASA ≥ V. (2) Acute cardiovascular event. (3) Severe uncontrolled hypertension. (4) End-stage renal disease. (5) Sepsis. (6) Preoperative requirement for vasopressor support. (7) Pregnancy. (8) Missing \>20% of key clinical data. (9) Loss to follow-up or refusal to consent to the use of medical records.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
How to take part
Only the study team decides who joins. These are the ways to reach them.
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The official record
ClinicalTrials.gov lists the study team's own contact details, including names and phone numbers. We don't republish those.
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A doctor treating you
A doctor who knows your case can contact a study site on your behalf, and can tell you whether this study is worth pursuing at all.
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