Should you replace a heart valve before symptoms start? major trial aims to find out
NCT ID NCT04204915
First seen Jun 24, 2026 · Last updated Jul 22, 2026 · Updated 3 times
Summary
This study compares two approaches for people with severe aortic stenosis who have no symptoms: early valve replacement (surgery or TAVI) versus watchful waiting. About 2,844 participants will be followed for at least 3 years to see which strategy reduces heart-related death and hospitalizations. The goal is to settle a long-standing debate in heart care.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- Active substance
- Aortic valve replacement (surgery or TAVI)
- What this could lead to
- If successful, this could show that early valve replacement prevents heart failure and death in people with severe aortic stenosis who feel fine.
- What could go wrong
- This is a large trial but results are years away. Early surgery carries risks like infection or stroke, and it may not prove better than waiting.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Phase
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Not a phased trial
Phase numbers describe drug development. The registry uses this when they do not apply, as it does for trials of devices, procedures or behaviour changes, and for observational studies.
- Participants
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About 2,104 people
The number the study aims to enrol. It can still change while the study runs.
- Started
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Mar 2020
- Expected to finish
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Apr 2031
An estimate. End dates often move.
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
- Ages
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18 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: 1. Age \>18 years 2. Patient has severe asymptomatic AS, in line with current international guidelines, defined as either: 1. Peak velocity ≥4m/s OR mean pressure gradient ≥40mmHg WITH aortic valve area ≤1.0cm2 OR ≤0.6cm2/m2 body surface area OR 2. Peak velocity ≥4m/s OR mean pressure gradient ≥40mmHg WITH aortic valve area \>1.0 - ≤1.2cm2 OR \>0.6 - ≤0.7cm2/m2 body surface area AND high sex specific calcium score\* OR 3. Peak Velocity ≥3.5m/s - 3.9m/s AND mean pressure gradient \<40 mmHg WITH aortic valve area ≤1.0cm2 OR ≤0.6cm2/m2 body surface area AND high sex specific calcium score\* \*Sex specific high calcium scores (Agatston units): \>1200 females; \>2000 males 3. The responsible clinician feels that either ongoing surveillance or early AVR are appropriate. 4. Regarded by the treating cardiologist to be suitable for AVR (surgical or TAVI) with an acceptable risk 5. Willing to provide informed consent and be randomised to early AVR or expectant management 6. An ability to understand one of the written languages that the study has provided written and visual materials in, or the availability of a translator to explain the study documentation Exclusion Criteria: 7. Symptoms related to AS 8. Additional severe valvular heart disease 9. Other cardiac surgery planned pre-randomisation (eg CABG) 10. Left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVEF \<50%) 11. Pregnancy 12. Co-morbid condition that, in the opinion of the treating cardiologist, limits life expectancy to \<2 years 13. Patient has previously undergone AVR or TAVI with restenosis
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
How to take part
Only the study team decides who joins. These are the ways to reach them.
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The places running it
108 sites in 7 countries. The list below names each one and where it is.
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The official record
ClinicalTrials.gov lists the study team's own contact details, including names and phone numbers. We don't republish those.
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A doctor treating you
A doctor who knows your case can contact a study site on your behalf, and can tell you whether this study is worth pursuing at all.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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Aberdeen Royal Infirmary
RECRUITINGAberdeen, AB25 2ZN, United Kingdom
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Aintree University Hospital
RECRUITINGAintree, L9 7AL, United Kingdom
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Airedale General Hospital
RECRUITINGKeighley, BD20 6TD, United Kingdom
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Auckland City Hospital
RECRUITINGAuckland, 1023, New Zealand
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Barnsley Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
RECRUITINGBarnsley, United Kingdom
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Basildon University Hospital
RECRUITINGBasildon, SS16 5NL, United Kingdom
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Basingstoke and North Hampshire Hospital
RECRUITINGBasingstoke, Hampshire, RG24 9NA, United Kingdom
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Blackpool Victoria Hospital
RECRUITINGBlackpool, FY3 8NR, United Kingdom
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Canberra Hospital
RECRUITINGGarran, Australian Capital Territory, 2605, Australia
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Chelsea and Westminster Hospital
RECRUITINGLondon, SW10 9NH, United Kingdom
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Chesterfield Royal Hospital
RECRUITINGChesterfield, S44 5BL, United Kingdom
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Christchurch Hospital
RECRUITINGChristchurch, 8011, New Zealand
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Cleveland Clinic London Hospital
RECRUITINGLondon, SW1X 7HY, United Kingdom
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County Durham and Darlington NHS Foundation Trust
RECRUITINGDarlington, DL3 6HX, United Kingdom
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Derriford Hospital
RECRUITINGPlymouth, PL6 8DH, United Kingdom
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Doncaster Royal Infirmary
RECRUITINGDoncaster, DN2 5LT, United Kingdom
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Dorset County Hospital
WITHDRAWNDorchester, Dorset, DT1 2JY, United Kingdom
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Dunedin Hospital
RECRUITINGDunedin, 9016, New Zealand
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Fiona Stanley Hospital
RECRUITINGPerth, Western Australia, 6150, Australia
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Flinders Medical Centre
RECRUITINGAdelaide, South Australia, SA 5042, Australia
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Forth Valley Royal Hospital
RECRUITINGStirling, FK9 4SW, United Kingdom
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Freeman Hospital
RECRUITINGNewcastle upon Tyne, NE7 7DN, United Kingdom
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Frisius Medical Center
RECRUITINGLeeuwarden, Netherlands
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Gateshead Health NHS Foundation Trust
RECRUITINGGateshead, NE9 6SX, United Kingdom
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George Eliot Hospital
RECRUITINGNuneaton, West Midlands, CV10 7DJ, United Kingdom
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Glan Clwyd Hospital
RECRUITINGBodelwyddan, Denbighshire, LL18 5UJ, United Kingdom
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Glasgow Royal Infirmary
RECRUITINGGlasgow, United Kingdom
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Gloucestershire Hospitals NHS Foundation
RECRUITINGGloucester, United Kingdom
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Golden Jubilee National Hospital
RECRUITINGGlasgow, G81 4DY, United Kingdom
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Hospital Germans Trias
RECRUITINGBarcelona, Spain
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Huddersfield Royal Infirmary
RECRUITINGHuddersfield, HD3 3EA, United Kingdom
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Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust
RECRUITINGLondon, United Kingdom
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Institute of Cardiovascular Diseases
RECRUITINGKamenitz, 21204, Serbia
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John Hunter Hospital
RECRUITINGNew Lambton Heights, NSW 2305, Australia
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Kettering General Hospital
RECRUITINGKettering, Northamptonshire, NN16 8UZ, United Kingdom
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Kings Mill Hospital
RECRUITINGNottingham, NG17 4JL, United Kingdom
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Leeds General Infirmary
RECRUITINGLeeds, LS1 3EX, United Kingdom
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Lincoln County Hospital
RECRUITINGLincoln, LN2 5QY, United Kingdom
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Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital
RECRUITINGLiverpool, L14 3PE, United Kingdom
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Liverpool Hospital
RECRUITINGLiverpool, New South Wales, 2170, Australia
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Lyell McEwin Hospital
RECRUITINGElizabeth Vale, SA 5112, Australia
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Maidstone & Tunbridge Wells Hospital
RECRUITINGMaidstone, ME16 9QQ, United Kingdom
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Monash Health
RECRUITINGClayton, Victoria, 3168, Australia
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Morriston Hospital
RECRUITINGSwansea, Wales, SA6 6NL, United Kingdom
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Musgrove Park Hospital
RECRUITINGTaunton, Somerset, TA1 5DA, United Kingdom
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Nepean Hospital
RECRUITINGKingswood, NSW 2747, Australia
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New Cross Hospital
RECRUITINGWolverhampton, United Kingdom
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Ninewells Hospital
RECRUITINGDundee, United Kingdom
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Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital
RECRUITINGNorwich, Norfolk, NR4 7UY, United Kingdom
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North Cumbria Integrated Care
RECRUITINGCarlisle, CA2 7AF, United Kingdom
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North Manchester General Hospital
RECRUITINGManchester, M8 5RB, United Kingdom
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North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Foundation Trust
RECRUITINGStockton-on-Tees, TS19 8PE, United Kingdom
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Northern General Hospital
RECRUITINGSheffield, S5 7AU, United Kingdom
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Northern Hospital
RECRUITINGEpping, VIC 3076, Australia
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Pinderfields Hospital
RECRUITINGWakefield, WF1 4DG, United Kingdom
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Poole Hospital
RECRUITINGPoole, BH15 2JB, United Kingdom
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Prince Charles Hospital
RECRUITINGChermside, Queensland, 4032, Australia
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Queen Alexandra Hospital
RECRUITINGPortsmouth, PO6 3LY, United Kingdom
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Queen Elizabeth Hospital
RECRUITINGBirmingham, B15 2GW, United Kingdom
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Queen Elizabeth University Hospital
RECRUITINGGlasgow, United Kingdom
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Queens Medical Centre
RECRUITINGNottingham, NG7 2UH, United Kingdom
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Radboud University Medical Center
RECRUITINGNijmegen, Netherlands
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Raigmore Hospital
RECRUITINGInverness, Scotland, IV2 3UJ, United Kingdom
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Royal Adelaide Hospital
RECRUITINGAdelaide, South Australia, 5000, Australia
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Royal Alexandra Hospital
RECRUITINGPaisley, PA2 9PN, United Kingdom
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Royal Cornwall Hospital
RECRUITINGTruro, TR1 3LJ, United Kingdom
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Royal Darwin Hospital
RECRUITINGTiwi, TIWI NT 0810, Australia
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Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital
RECRUITINGExeter, EX2 5DW, United Kingdom
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Royal Hobart Hospital
RECRUITINGHobart, TAS 7000, Australia
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Royal Liverpool Hospital
RECRUITINGLiverpool, Merseyside, L7 8YE, United Kingdom
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Royal Liverpool Hospital
NOT_YET_RECRUITINGLiverpool, L7 8XP, United Kingdom
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Royal North Shore Hospital
RECRUITINGSt Leonards, New South Wales, 2065, Australia
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Royal Perth Hospital
RECRUITINGPerth, Western Australia, WA6000, Australia
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Royal Sussex County Hospital
RECRUITINGBrighton, BN2 5BE, United Kingdom
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Russells Hall Hospital
RECRUITINGDudley, West Midlands, DY1 2HQ, United Kingdom
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Sandwell General Hospital
RECRUITINGWest Bromwich, West Midlands, B71 4HJ, United Kingdom
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Scunthorpe General Hospital
RECRUITINGScunthorpe, North Lincolnshire, DN15 7BH, United Kingdom
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Sint-Jan Hospital
RECRUITINGBruges, Brugge, 8000, Belgium
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South Tyneside and Sunderland NHS Foundation Trust
RECRUITINGSunderland, United Kingdom
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South Warwickshire University NHS Foundation Trust
RECRUITINGWarwick, United Kingdom
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Southampton General Hospital
RECRUITINGSouthampton, SO16 6YD, United Kingdom
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St Bartholomew's Hospital
RECRUITINGLondon, EC1A 7BE, United Kingdom
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St George's Hospital
RECRUITINGLondon, SW17 0QT, United Kingdom
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St Thomas' Hospital
RECRUITINGLondon, SE1 7EH, United Kingdom
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Stepping Hill Hospital
RECRUITINGStockport, SK2 7JE, United Kingdom
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The Gold Coast Hospital
RECRUITINGSouthport, Queensland, 4215, Australia
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The James Cook University Hospital
RECRUITINGMiddlesbrough, TS4 3BW, United Kingdom
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The Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh
RECRUITINGEdinburgh, EH16 4SA, United Kingdom
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Torbay Hospital
RECRUITINGTorquay, TQ2 7AA, United Kingdom
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Townsville Hospital
RECRUITINGDouglas, Queensland, 4814, Australia
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University Hospital Ayr
RECRUITINGAyr, KA6 6DX, United Kingdom
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University Hospital Coventry & Warwickshire
RECRUITINGCoventry, CV2 2DX, United Kingdom
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University Hospital Crosshouse
RECRUITINGKilmarnock, KA2 0BE, United Kingdom
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University Hospital Geelong
RECRUITINGGeelong, Victoria, 3220, Australia
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University Hospital Lewisham
RECRUITINGLondon, SE13 6LH, United Kingdom
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University Hospital of Brussels
RECRUITINGJette, 1090, Belgium
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University Hospital of Navarra
RECRUITINGPamplona, Spain
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University Hospital of North Durham
RECRUITINGDurham, County Durham, DH1 5TW, United Kingdom
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University Hospitals Leicester, Glenfield
RECRUITINGLeicester, Leicestershire, LE3 9QP, United Kingdom
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Walsall Manor Hospital
RECRUITINGWalsall, West Midlands, WS2 9PS, United Kingdom
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Wansbeck General Hospital
RECRUITINGAshington, Northumberland, NE63 9JJ, United Kingdom
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Watford General Hospital
RECRUITINGWatford, WD18 0HB, United Kingdom
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West Middlesex University Hospital
RECRUITINGIsleworth, TW7 6AF, United Kingdom
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Westmead Hospital
RECRUITINGWestmead, New South Wales, 2145, Australia
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Wollongong Hospital
RECRUITINGWollongong, New South Wales, 2500, Australia
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Worcester Acute Hospitals NHS FT
RECRUITINGWorcester, United Kingdom
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Wycombe Hospital
RECRUITINGHigh Wycombe, Wycombe, HP11 2TT, United Kingdom
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Wythenshawe Hospital
RECRUITINGManchester, M23 9LT, United Kingdom
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Yeovil District Hospital
WITHDRAWNYeovil, BA21 4AT, United Kingdom
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Ziekenhuis Oost-Limburg
RECRUITINGGenk, 3600, Belgium
More trials for these conditions
Other studies related to the condition(s) this trial covers.
- AI turns routine heart tracings into an early warning for a silent valve disease
- Can a new heart valve offer a safer fix for aortic stenosis?
- Can Open-Heart surgery outperform a Tube-Based valve fix?
- Can a new heart valve restore quality of life?
- Does replacing a heart valve clear fluid from the lungs?
- AI ultrasound could unmask silent heart disease in seniors