Blood test may forecast which cirrhosis patients survive after discharge
NCT ID NCT06855056
First seen Sep 10, 2026 · Last updated Sep 11, 2026 · Updated 1 time
Summary
Researchers are studying whether certain molecules in the blood can predict how well patients with liver cirrhosis will do after leaving the hospital. The trial enrolls adults aged 18 to 80 who were admitted for a serious complication of cirrhosis, such as fluid buildup, confusion, bleeding, or infection, and who are well enough to go home. By measuring these biomarkers at discharge, the team aims to see if they can forecast survival at three months and identify different recovery paths over six months.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If the biomarkers prove accurate, doctors could one day use a simple blood test to identify which cirrhosis patients face the highest risk after leaving the hospital and tailor their follow-up care.
- What could go wrong
- This is an observational study, so it cannot prove that acting on biomarker results improves outcomes. The biomarkers may not predict survival reliably in other hospitals or patient groups.
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Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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189 people
The number who actually took part.
- Started
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Mar 2025
- Finished
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Sep 2026
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
Patients eligible for this study will be patients with decompensated cirrhosis expected to be discharged from the hospital within 48 hours after an index admission for AD according to the EASL-CLIF criteria.
- Ages
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18 to 80 years
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: 1. Age between 18 and 80 years. 2. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis admitted to hospital due to AD according to the EASL-CLIF criteria (rapid onset of ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, portal hypertensive- related gastrointestinal bleeding, bacterial infection, or any combination of these), including those who presented ACLF during hospitalization. 3. Recovery from AD and expected to be discharged within the next 48 hours. Exclusion Criteria: 1. Admission for planned diagnostic or therapeutic procedures 2. Active malignancy (except for hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria or nonmelanocytic skin cancer) 3. Antiviral treatment for hepatitis C, B and delta initiated in the last 6 months or planned to be initiated in the following 6 months. 4. HIV positive (except undergoing treatment and who do not exhibit clinical manifestations of AIDS). 5. Ongoing alcohol use disorder with an expected low adherence to prescriptions as judged by physician 6. Previous liver or other organ transplantation 7. Patients with TIPS or other surgical porto-caval shunts 8. Chronic organic renal failure stage IV and V or estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate \<20 ml/min according to the MDRD equations 9. Chronic heart failure NYHA class III or IV 10. Pulmonary disease GOLD III or IV 11. Patients with a history of significant extrahepatic disease with life expectancy \<6 months 12. Severe psychiatric disorders 13. Pregnancy and breast-feeding 14. Expected low adherence to study protocol as judged by physician 15. Patients who cannot provide written informed consent or refuse to participate
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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A.O.U. Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino
Torino, 10126, Italy
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Hospital Beaujon
Clichy, 92110, France
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Hospital Clinic de Barcelona
Barcelona, 08036, Spain
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Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron Research Institute
Barcelona, 08035, Spain
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Hospital Universitario Ramon y Cajal
Madrid, 28034, Spain
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IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria di Bologna Policlinico di S.Orsola
Bologna, Italia, 40138, Italy
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Royal Free Hospital
London, NW3 2QG, United Kingdom
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University Hospital, Aachen
Aachen, 52074, Germany
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Universitätsklinikum Münster
Münster, 48149, Germany
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Other studies related to the condition(s) this trial covers.
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