AI model aims to predict ABPA relapse risk
NCT ID NCT07611838
First seen Jun 27, 2026 · Last updated Jun 27, 2026
Summary
This study is developing a machine learning model to predict the risk of relapse within one year for people with allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis (ABPA), a lung condition caused by an allergic reaction to a fungus. Researchers will collect data from 300 patients across multiple hospitals to build and test the model. The goal is to help doctors identify high-risk patients and make better treatment decisions.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- What this could lead to
- If successful, this could lead to a tool that helps doctors predict which ABPA patients are at higher risk of relapse, enabling more personalized monitoring and treatment.
- What could go wrong
- This is an observational study using existing data, not testing a new treatment. The model may not be accurate enough for real-world use, and results may not apply to all patients.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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About 300 people
The number the study aims to enrol. It can still change while the study runs.
- Started
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Jan 2021
- Expected to finish
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Dec 2028
An estimate. End dates often move.
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
1)Female and Male patients aged 18-75 years inclusively at the time of Visit 1 with a physician diagnosis of Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis has met the ISHAM Working Group Diagnostic Criteria for ABPA 2)These patients who were clearly diagnosed with ABPA are currently in stable phase
- Ages
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18 to 80 years
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: * Female and Male patients aged 18-80 years * diagnosis of Allergic Bronchopulmonary Aspergillosis ABPA accroding to the 2024 ISHAM Working Group Diagnostic Criteria Exclusion Criteria: * Patients with malignant tumors or severe organ dysfunction (e.g., cardiac, cerebral, renal, etc.) * Patients with severe comorbidities, including active pulmonary tuberculosis, lung cancer, chronic heart failure (NYHA class Ⅳ), chronic kidney disease (CKD stage 5), decompensated cirrhosis, etc. * Patients with immunosuppressive status, such as HIV infection, long-term use of oral corticosteroids or immunosuppressive agents. * Pregnant or lactating women. * Patients with missing key data or incomplete medical records.
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Conditions
The condition(s) this trial relates to.
As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
How to take part
Only the study team decides who joins. These are the ways to reach them.
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The places running it
1 site. The list below names each one and where it is.
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The official record
ClinicalTrials.gov lists the study team's own contact details, including names and phone numbers. We don't republish those.
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A doctor treating you
A doctor who knows your case can contact a study site on your behalf, and can tell you whether this study is worth pursuing at all.
Contacts and locations
Locations
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Department of Respiratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, #16766, Jingshi Road, Jinan City, Shandong Province, China, Jinan, Shandong 250014
RECRUITINGJinan, Shandong, 250014, China
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