AI that refreshes ICU death risk every 6 hours put to the test
NCT ID NCT07825012
First seen Sep 17, 2026 · Last updated Sep 18, 2026 · Updated 1 time
Summary
Researchers are testing FedHist, an artificial intelligence model that estimates a critically ill patient's risk of dying in the ICU within the next 24 hours. The model uses routinely collected clinical information and updates its estimate every six hours. The study enrolls adults admitted to intensive care units across several hospitals and compares FedHist's predictions with what actually happens to patients. The goal is to learn whether the model predicts accurately across hospitals with different patient populations and practices.
What this could mean
Our plain-language read of the trial. This is informational only, not medical advice or a prediction.
- Active substance
- FedHist, an artificial intelligence model that estimates ICU mortality risk
- What this could lead to
- If FedHist proves accurate across hospitals, it could give ICU teams an early warning tool to identify patients at higher risk of dying and adjust care sooner.
- What could go wrong
- The model may not predict equally well in hospitals with different patient populations or practices, and its estimates could be wrong in either direction. This study tests accuracy, not whether acting on the predictions saves lives.
This is an AI summary of the original study and may miss details. Read our disclaimer.
Study facts
What this study's own registry entry says, in plain language.
- Participants
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About 23,579 people
The number the study aims to enrol. It can still change while the study runs.
- Expected to start
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Oct 2026
An estimate. Start dates often move.
- Expected to finish
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Dec 2027
An estimate. End dates often move.
- Lead sponsor
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Other sponsor
The registry's catch-all category, for sponsors it does not file as a company, a government agency, or a research network.
Who can take part
This study's own entry requirements. Only the study team can say for certain whether you qualify.
Who is studied
All patients admitted to the participating ICU
- Ages
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18 years and older
- Sex
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Anyone
- Healthy volunteers
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Not accepted
This study is not open to healthy volunteers. The entry requirements below say who it is open to.
Show the full entry requirements Hide the full entry requirements
Copied word for word from the study's registry entry, so the wording is the study team's rather than ours.
Inclusion Criteria: * Admission to a participating ICU Exclusion Criteria: * Age younger than 18 years. * Expected ICU length of stay shorter than 24 hours. * Refusal to provide written informed consent.
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As listed by the trial registrant
The condition terms exactly as the trial's registrant entered them.
How to take part
Only the study team decides who joins. These are the ways to reach them.
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The official record
ClinicalTrials.gov lists the study team's own contact details, including names and phone numbers. We don't republish those.
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A doctor treating you
A doctor who knows your case can contact a study site on your behalf, and can tell you whether this study is worth pursuing at all.
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